Premier League
This price has been dropping all morning. Brighton are probably quite rightly favourites as they are on a good run and have suffered just 1 loss in their last 8 matches. Their problem is they can't score many. In this recent good run, they have only scored more than 1 goal on one occasion and that was a cup win over Blackpool.
Brighton have only beaten a side by more than 1 goal in the league on one occasion since 2019. That was a 3-1 win over Newcastle in 2020.
Crystal Palace are not a good side but they are capable of getting a result. They have a win over Man Utd and a draw against Arsenal this season. Stats suggest they aren't as good a side without Zaha in the team, and he'll be missing for this game.
This is the M23 derby and noone really cares about that other than Brighton and Palace fans, but in a derby we know anything can happen. I'm not sure if Brighton have been priced a little too low for me. If they were to win by 2+ i think we can class it as bad luck when you consider their scoring record. A Palace goal should put us in good shape.
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