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Buffalo vs Miami-Ohio    (won)



I love fading the line moves you know and this one opened at 4.5 and is now up to 5.5 as the 22-0 Redhawks are getting some love in the marketplace. 

The Bulls already proved they can play with the Redhawks as they took them to OT at Miami-Ohio. That was part of a 3-game stretch in which the Redhawks had 2 OT wins plus a 2-
point win versus UMass. 

Now Miami-Ohio enters this game off a blowout win thanks to a big 2nd half but it came at home and versus a bad Northern Illinois team. Now the Redhawks are on the road and remember they have played only 2 road games in 2026. 

They have had a very fortunate schedule thus far and you know that the first SU loss of the season is coming. After playing with fire on so many occasions with close calls recently yet still enjoying good fortune in winning each game, their luck runs out here. 

There is a reason that the Redhawks opened up as such a small favorite despite being 22-0 and the Bulls being mired in a 1-6 SU run. Don't let the line fool you. This is a great spot for Buffalo.

 The Bulls are better than this current run shows. Lets not forget that Buffalo opened up the season 13-2 through 15 games. Buffalo lost both meetings with the Redhawks last season but are a much better team this season than they were last year. 

Remember Miami-Ohio never led by more than 7 in their first meeting with the Bulls this season and that one was at Millett Hall in Oxford. Now the rematch is at Alumni Arena in Buffalo and I sense an upset here.

Published: 03-02-2026, 23:48 CET Pick: Buffalo +5.5
Odds: 1.8 at Bovada


Category: NCAA basketball
Date: 03-02-2026
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



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