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Bulgaria - Saudi Arabia    (lost)

The odds have to be wrong on this even if Saudi Arabia have bad memories against European opponents. In 2014 Saudi-Arabia lost to Moldova 0-4 and against Georgia 0-2. Both those friendlies were played in Spain, similarly all 3 friendlies (so far won against Latvia 2-0 and lost to Portugal 0-3) this month are played in Portugal. I think this Saudi team is more competitive than in a long time, they were not in a good shape in 2014 anyway also having lost to Bahrain 1-5 that year and didn't make it out of their quite easy group in Asian Cup. Their dreams to qualify for Brazil 2014 had ended as early as 2011 September. After 2015 Asian Cup they have been the best Arab country quite clearly and this kind of 50 % chance for Bulgaria to win on a neutral venue is something I would expect against Qatar or Jordan, not Saudi-Arabia.

The performance against a weakened Portugal was quite bad and it became very one-sided match. Probably looked like a perfomance someone like Andorra or Luxembourg would pull off so it was a disappointment to me. I don't know where to rank Saudi Arabia in UEFA at the moment, probably below Bulgaria, but I think they are better than Luxembourg normally.

Last time Bulgaria played against an AFC team they lost to Japan 7-2 away (2016) and it had less absences than today. Saudi Arabia are nowhere as strong as Japan but played 4 good matches against Japan and Australia in WCQ.
Published: 13-11-2017, 14:07 CET Pick: Saudi Arabia +0.5
Odds: 1.833 at Pinnacle


Category: International football
Date: 13-11-2017
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



bfischer 13-11-2017, 17:26
My brother travelled yesterday to Saudi Arabia for business so another Bulgaria - Saudi Arabia meeting today. Not related with the game but it must be a good omen. Taking this bet too.

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