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CSKA Moscow - Olympiakos    (void)

Cska is the best team in Euroleague and they are the only team, that has more than +200 point difference. In other words, they beat other teams by an average 10 points per game and bookmakers set the odds at -9 on them against Olympiakos, but later the odds went down to -8 and I think we have a qualified bet now. 

My betting model has CSKA to win this game by more than 10 points and let's see if there is any reason for that. 

Olympiakos is is very good team, they are third best team in Euroleague, but they are coming to this game after huge loss against Barcelona at home. They lost by 27 points, which was big surprise and I believe, they will show much better effort here. 

However, they very good at home, where they have the record 11-2. But on the road, they are just 7-6 and have negative point difference (-78). If we check their games, they beat Panathinaikos after overtime. But this was anyway a game in Greece and those games are very special. They beat Real on the road by 1 point. I usually don't watch games, but I watched that game and I remember how they won. Real Madrid made couple of very stupid mistakes, like technical fouls and some other really stupid mistakes and my final conclusion is that Olympiakos was lucky in this game. Just my personal opinion... but let's get back to the facts. 

Before that game, they lost 4 straight games on the road:
Crvena Zvezda by 11 points
Khimki by 28 points
Baskonia by 32 points
Žalgiris by 6 points

Maybe I am missing something, but they are totally different team on the road. And CSKA is the best team in Euroleague. Not only, that they are the best team in Euroleague, they are very strong team at home with the record of 12-1. 

Olympiakos is a good team, but they didn't impress me on the road and they still didn't face CSKA on the road this season. CSKA lost in Pireus in the first game by 2 points and I believe they will be even more motivated because of this. Because the line went down to 8 points, I think we have a qualified bet here. 

Play CSKA -8
Published: 21-03-2018, 12:54 CET Pick: CSKA -8
Odds: 1.943 at Pinnacle


Category: European basketball
Date: 21-03-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)




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