CSKA Sofia - Derry City    (lost)

In the first leg of the Europa League qualifiers, CSKA Sofia host Irish side Derry City. There is a clear gap between the two teams in terms of recent form and squad completeness, and the home side have a much better chance of creating a strong advantage in this match.

Although CSKA Sofia have gone through some squad changes this summer, the overall quality of their reinforcements is quite solid. Their recent friendly matches have also looked promising. They won three of their last four games, and in particular, they scored three goals in each of their last two victories. Their attacking combinations and finishing efficiency are already starting to show.

In terms of squad news, the most notable new signing for CSKA Sofia is Ivorian defender Gbamin, who joined from French Ligue 2 side Metz. At his peak, Gbamin was once valued at as much as 30 million euros. Although he is now 30 years old, his experience, defensive judgment and positional awareness are still among the best at this level. His arrival can improve the stability of the back line and help the team handle pressure better in European competition. In addition, the return of key midfielder James Eto’o from injury is another major boost for the hosts. Last season, he contributed four goals and four assists, making him a very important part of the midfield. He can help with ball progression and also create danger in the final third. His return should make CSKA Sofia’s midfield operation much smoother.

Derry City’s situation is much less ideal. In recent seasons, they have often been near the top of the Irish league, but their performances this season have clearly dropped. They are currently only sixth, which is one of their weaker periods in recent years. In their last match, they suffered a 4-2 defeat to Waterford FC, exposing several defensive problems, and their morale is not at its best.

What makes things even more difficult is their serious midfield shortage for this match. O’Reilly is suspended, while Markey and Clarke are both out injured. Losing three key midfielders at the same time is a major blow. This could easily cause a disconnect between defence and attack, while also putting more pressure on the back line.

Overall, CSKA Sofia have been in better attacking form recently, their squad reinforcements are of higher quality, and James Eto’o’s return further strengthens their midfield. Derry City, on the other hand, are struggling for form, missing several midfielders, and their ability to withstand pressure away from home is questionable. CSKA Sofia are expected to control the tempo at home, with a 2-0 scoreline worth considering.

PICK: CSKA Sofia -1.75