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Calgary - Edmonton    (lost)

Calgary continues its three-game home stand Tuesday night against the Edmonton Oilers.Although they lost eight of their last twelve games (4-6-2  32/39), the Flames remain in contention for a playoff spot in the Western Conference, where Calgary sits in 11th place, two points behind eighth-placed Colorado Avalanche.The Flames have totaled just 11 goals in their last seven games (1.57 per game), but today they'll face Cam Talbot (25-26-2 with a 3.03 GAA and .906 SV%), who is enduring the worst season of his five-year career.
In the matter of fact, Talbot is coming off two solid outings, as the 30-year-old netminder stopped 30 of the 31 shots he faced in the Oilers' 2-1 shootout win over the Islanders on March 8, before allowing one goal on 33 shots in Saturday's 4-1 home victory against the Minnesota Wild.On the other hand, he's posted a 3.40 goals-against and .906 save percentage in his previous five starts and is 9-13-1 with a 3.01 GAA and .903 SV% in twenty-five road contests.
Mike Smith (23-17-6 with a 2.56 GAA and .920 SV%), who will start between the pipes for Calgary, gave up four goals on 26 shots in Sunday's 2-5 home loss to the Islanders.Smith has gone 3-4-0 with an ugly 3.57 GAA and .887 SV% over his last seven starts and what is also important to be taken into account: the 35-year-old goaltender obviously feels more comfortable on the road, as he's posted a 11-4-3 record with a stellar 1.97 GAA, .944 SV% and one shutout in eighteen road contests, compared to a 12-13-3 record with 2.94 goals-against and .903 save percentage on home ice.In addition to that, Smith gave up five goals on 27 shots in his last start against the Oilers, a 5-7 home loss on Dec. 2.
The Edmonton Oilers are already without chances of making the playoffs (sixteen points behind eighth-placed Colorado Avalanche), though more important for my bet is that the guests show good efficiency in offense lately, having scored a total of 33 goals in eleven games over the past three weeks (3.00 per game) and four or more goals in three of their last four road games against the Avalanche (4-2), the Kings (4-3), the Ducks (6-5 SO) and San Jose Sharks on Feb. 27 (2-5).
Calgary Flames forward Matthew Tkachuk (lw /68  26 goals + 25 assists) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game, while Edmonton continues without Oscar Klefbom (d /63  4+15).
I expect more than five goals in that game between the Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers.
Published: 13-03-2018, 23:04 CET Pick: over 5.50
Odds: 1.87 at bwin


Category: NHL ice hockey
Date: 14-03-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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