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Cardinals - Dodgers    (lost)

I think odds on the Cards are too high but i cannot go against Kershaw. The under however has also some valid points to invest in and here is why..

Kershaw is steaming up like he always does in the 2nd half of the season. He is finally healthy and has a 2.42 ERA with excellent stuff: 1.38 BB/9, 0.92 HR/9, 48.8GB%, altough that 8.78 K/9 should be a little higher for Clayton' standards. In the last 30 days however he has a big 2.25 ERA> 0.64 BB/9.

Fantastic results against the Red Birds in recent seasons as well>

2014: 14 IP 1.93 ERA> 1.00 WHIP

2015: 8 IP 0.00 ERA > 0.38 WHIP

2017: 9 IP 1.00 ERA> 0.33 WHIP

Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 road starts.

For the Cardinals also a lefty on the mound in Austin Gomber. He pitched worse for sure than his 2.93 ERA indicates but he has been solid enough > 7.48 K/9, 3.96 BB/9, 0.44 HR/9, 36.6GB% At home a 2.13 ERA> 2.84 BB/9.

He allowed 2 runs in his only outing against the Dodgers this season.

Dodgers are monsterous against RHP, but they hit just a .311 wOBA against lefties, ranked 17th.

Under is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.

Very important series for both teams in order to make it to the post season. Will take my chances with the under first half.

Published: 13-09-2018, 22:09 CET Pick: Under 4.0 first half ( first 5 innings )
Odds: 1.83 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 14-09-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)




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