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Carreno Busta V.S. Humbert    (lost)

The line on this pick confuses me.  And the direction of its movement confuses me more.  Carreno-Busta and Ugo Humbert are not to be compared.  Just because he beat a struggling Medvedev are we now anointing this hideous looking kid as a top 20 killer?  No, I think not.  I refuse to take Medvedev's bad day(s) as anything other than him beating himself.  I understand he took a set off of Rublev, sure.

Carreno-Busta is arguably having a breakout year.  He has absolutely been dominant since the restart, losing only to the likes of the Joker, Nadal, Zverev and Kachonov in HIS LAST 17 MATCHES! And now just because this French little shit had a big win and big hug from his mommy in Hamburg lines makers are dropping odds??  I'm sorry, didn't this guy just serve 49% with only 33% of return points won against a guy ranked 172?! 

Humbert can't even put three wins together!  If Carreno-Busta is upset by this scrawny ugly little shit then I will be shocked.  I can see this going 3 sets even, but an upset?  I don't see it.  Carreno-Busta will become a baseline wall.  Until then I see tremendous value on the guy who has won titles on indoor hard courts and who hasn't lost to someone outside the top 20 in 17 MATCHES!
Starling says: Don't buy the hype.  Pablo Carreno-Busta to advance.
Published: 21-10-2020, 10:07 CET Pick: Carreno-Busta - ML
Odds: 1.83 at William Hill


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 21-10-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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