Forgotten password Close [x]
See Serbia
1761 17526 +553.5
+3% 1.9 1.98
Stats by month / league / picks archive

Charleroi - Partizan Belgrade    (won)

Europa League » 3rd qualifying round

Belgian black & whites against Serbian black & whites. Only one leg is going to be played and Charleroi is going to be the host. 
IMO these odds are ridiculous. I mean 1.80 on home win or even lower at some places, that's a joke if you ask me. I know Charleroi is the team from stronger league. I know also that they had impressive start of the season in Belgium with 6-0-0. But how tough schedule that was? Those six opponents in average has won only 9 pts each. The truth they had one really big win, that was road three points against Club Brugge, 0:1. In that match Charleroi even was without important player who wasn't allowed to play since he is on loan from Brugge. So, well done for that win but it was opening round of the season, they found Brugge underperforming maybe. Other than that, we could mention win over Antwerp who was top standings team season ago and also was competing in Europe but seems like Antwerp are weaker now. 
I don't want to underestimate Charleroi. I know this squad is playing together for a while and they probably now reached the peak of its form over the years. But I still can't  agree they should be favourite like this in any sense. Unlike Partizan who is practically regular participant of UEFA competitions group stages, we can't say Charleroi has such experience. Partizan in recent as well in long past, almost always was doing very well against opponents from this region (Belgium, Netherlands). Don't tell me that Charleroi is better than Dutch AZ Alkmaar or that they are better than Anderlecht from the time when Anderlecht was the best team in Belgium. Back then Partizan eliminated Anderlecht and was in Champions League group stage. With note, this today's Partizan is way better than Partizan who played against Anderlecht.
Team value assessment is also against Charleroi. Namely, Partizan except defender Pavlovic who moved to Monaco, completely kept the squad and theirs value is much higher than Charleroi's.
Home pitch isn't crucial here if you ask me. Namely these game are still without presence of fans. 

The only that remains is this at first look weaker current form of Serbian team. They had trouble scoring in last few games, in both previous qualifying rounds as well in last round of Serbian league. But you should know that those two weak European opponents have played extremely defensive, they both literally parked the bus and sometimes it's tough to open the scoreboard against such teams. As for last game in Serbia, I think I don't need to repeat myself all the time. Completely circus league where Partizan doesn't have equal chances to fight for the title. Referees are finishing the job every round and the mentioned game was no exception. Completely regular goal was disallowed in the first half due to allegedly offside position. The replay showed it was regular goal for Partizan, there wasn't offside. Without such mistake, the game would be much easier later on, and it would not end only 0:1. Of course, in Serbia there is no VAR yet cause one team (you guess which) is not allowing it. So, while Partizan dealing with such refs "mistakes" round after round, Crvena zvezda plays in the league mainly friendly games against their numerous affiliated clubs. That's the picture of Serbian football in last few years. 
Of course, here today with international referees, I expect refs to do the fair job. Also, no way Charleroi is going to play defensively like previous Partizan opponents. The host will attack and that suit to Partizan if you ask me. 

I was researching a lot about Charleroi and I see they have two solid attackers, one from Jamaica and one from Iran. But defense is questionable and IMO not really tested so far. They have goalkeeper who very soon is going to turn 40 years of age. I heard their defense is a little bit slow. Left-Back position is especially critical cause they sold on that position very valuable player to Gent for big money. Partizan exactly on that attacking side (right winger) has very fast players. Japanese player Asano, while also Lazar Marković can play there (both are expected to start). Also on left winger young and super talented Filip Stevanović (with 8 million the highest valued player on the pitch) who very often moving from left to right. 
The bottom line, I really think Partizan can make lot of trouble to Charleroi defense. That being said, also Both To Score probably is not bad option either. And I would probably go with that if the 1x2 odds are set more fair. IMO fair would be here if this is game somewhere around 50-50 odss. But, since instead of both teams being priced around 1.90 for Draw No Bet or AH (0) option, we have Partizan on such odds but for X2 Double Chance, I need to go with road team. On this visit I would take that every single day. 

By the way, odds as high as 3.00 on Partizan to qualify are extremely value IMO, but I see this with nice chance to go to Extra Time and then who knows what could happen, while in that case (X in regular 90 minutes) my bet on Partizan +0.5 would be already winner. So, why be greedy when these odds 2.00 are very nice too. 
Published: 24-09-2020, 04:31 CET Pick: Partizan +0.5 AH
Odds: 2.09 at BetVictor

Category: European football
Date: 24-09-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)

psyhz 24-09-2020, 06:01
Very well written preview, followed!
gameiro 24-09-2020, 12:40
nobody trust Serbian teams these days, Crvena Zvezda kicked out by Omonia, Backa Topola failed against the third team of FCSB, is very hard for Partizan who is not the best team of Serbia to qualify against Charleroi who is the most compacted team of Belgium
Rookie 24-09-2020, 13:04
@gameiro totally agree,thumbs up.Cherloi doing good.

29-10 Aek Athens - Leicester Leicester, 1.75 @ PinnacleLeicester mrgol
29-10 AEK Athens vs. Leicester Leicester, 1.81 @ MarathonbetLeicester Bettr
29-10 Arsenal-Dundalk Arsenal over 3.5, 2.01 @ PinnacleArsenal over 3.5 betass
29-10 FK Crvena zvezda - Slovan Liberec NEW Under 2.5, 1.81 @ 1xBetUnder 2.5 FairPlayBet
29-10 Glasgow - Lech Poznan 2nd half -1 Glasgow, 3.2 @ Unibet2nd half -1 Gl.. Martini
29-10 Milan - Sparta Prague Milan - over 2.5 team goals, 2 @ bet365Milan - over 2.. Tiptop
29-10 Omonia Nicosia - PSV Under 2,5, 1.94 @ PinnacleUnder 2,5 mrgol
29-10 Real Sociedad vs Napoli Over 2,5 goals, 2.03 @ MarathonbetOver 2,5 goals Boris
29-10 Real Sociedad-Napoli Real Sociedad +0, 1.8 @ bet365Real Sociedad +0 NightThief
29-10 Roma- CSKA Roma over 2.5, 2.21 @ PinnacleRoma over 2.5 betass
29-10 Bekescsaba 1912 - DVTK Away win, 2.03 @ BetclicAway win Bestballbet
29-10 Kaluga - Salyut 1 2AH(+0.25), 2 @ bet3652AH(+0.25) Tiptop
29-10 Kvant Obninsk - Saturn 2AH(-0.75), 1.8 @ bet3652AH(-0.75) Tiptop
29-10 Al Wasl - Al Nasr Over 3.5, 2.74 @ PinnacleOver 3.5 Mindozas
29-10 Asvel-Zalgiris Žalgiris -3.5, 1.94 @ UnibetŽalgiris -3.5 betass
29-10 CSKA - Valencia Over 157 pts, 1.73 @ PinnacleOver 157 pts Boris
29-10 CSKA Moscow - Valencia CSKA -6.5, 1.76 @ UnibetCSKA -6.5 FairPlayBet
29-10 Lyon Villeurbanne - Zalgiris 7 Zalgiris -3.5, 1.87 @ UnibetZalgiris -3.5 Bestballbet
29-10 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Fenerbahce Fenerbahce +5, 1.8 @ 10betFenerbahce +5 FairPlayBet
29-10 Trefl Sopot - King Wilki Morskie S.. Over (158 pts.), 1.93 @ UnibetOver (158 pts.) gizmozch
29-10 Garin - Thiem Garin, 7.26 @ PinnacleGarin GoSoeda
29-10 Garin vs Thiem 2 Over 20, 1.78 @ PinnacleOver 20 FinnishFlash
29-10 Hurkacz - Sonego Sonego +1.5 Sets, 1.81 @ PinnacleSonego +1.5 Sets Darkness
29-10 Mannarino - Sugita Sugita, 3.4 @ UnibetSugita Darkness
29-10 Rodionov - Evans Rodionov +4 games, 1.884 @ PinnacleRodionov +4 ga.. GoSoeda
29-10 Spartak - CSKA 1 CSKA, 1.74 @ 1xBetCSKA FinnishFlash
29-10 Falcons at Panthers Panthers -2.5, 1.93 @ PinnaclePanthers -2.5 FSUMIKE
29-10 Team Secret - Alliance Team Secret (-1.5 maps), 1.507 @ PinnacleTeam Secret (-.. uncle_bets
30-10 Gerasimov vs Tiafoe Over 22, 1.7 @ PinnacleOver 22 FinnishFlash
30-10 Magni - Ufa Ufa, 2.35 @ bet365Ufa FinnishFlash
31-10 Silva vs Hall Halls wins by TKO/KO, 2.65 @ IntertopsHalls wins by .. FSUMIKE
01-11 Radnik - FK Crvena zvezda 2/2, 1.8 @ bet3652/2 FairPlayBet
02-11 Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan Over 2.75 goals, 1.78 @ bet365Over 2.75 goals Tiptop
03-11 Biden vs Trump 7 Biden to be elected for presid.., 1.526 @ PinnacleBiden to be el.. KWBF
1xbet WWin Rivalo VOdds betsson Betsafe Betzest GG.bet Optibet LV Bet Intertops Marathonbet

Bästabettingsidorna.se is the safest bet if you are looking for the best betting sites on the Swedish market.
Betting Predictions
Free Betting Predictions from tipsters with verified statistics. Tipster Competitions with money prizes every month
Join the Bettors.Club
Get more and win more!
Betrush Premium features some of our best tipsters and has delivered over 15,000 picks and steady profits since the start in 2011. We care about serious betting - no makeup, odds are advised exclusively with Pinnacle and the Asian market. Subscriptions are affordable for everyone, starting from just €9.90 per week and cover all picks and tipsters on the BP site