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Chelsea - Burnley    (won)

Chelsea will host Burnley in a match from the 22th round in English Premier League. I like to bet on Burnley matches because they just can't defend against strong opponents and always allow a few goals against them. Despite Chelsea's terrible performance at home, today they have an excellent opportunity to improve it at least a little.

The blues are 4-2-4 (11:10) on Stamford Bridge and are with three loss from four game in which they failed to score a goal and this was against weak opponents like Southampton (0:2), Bournemouth (0:1) and West Ham (0:1). Even this "young" Chelsea can't keep up with such a performance at home and in my opinion Burnley is the perfect team against whom to stop with this bad series. The guests receive many goals against the good teams and when Chelsea succeed to score they very often do this again (5 from 8 in PL and CL, but two of the three exceptions were against strong teams-Liverpool and Leicester). 

Burnley are 2-3-5 (10:17) like a guests and against the top teams their results this season so far are: vs Man Utd 0:2, vs Chelsea 2:4, vs Liverpool 0:3, vs Man City 1:4, @Tottenham 0:5, @Leicester 1:2 and @Arsenal 1:2. And today I do not expect anything different to happen.

Chelsea have scored more than two goals in just one game at home this season-against Ajax (4:4), so this match is a great opportunity to do it once again (they actually won against Grimsby with 7:1, but this was in cup).

(Pinnacle: over 2.5 on 2.65 and exactly 2 on 3.7)
Published: 11-01-2020, 15:09 CET Pick: Chelsea over 2.0 goals
Odds: 1.935 at Pinnacle


Category: English football
Date: 11-01-2020
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 6 (tipster's average: 6)




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