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Cleveland @ Detroit    (lost)

Cleveland (20-21) vs Detroit (19-22)

I like the over in this one and its mainly because of the pitching. The bats have been good on both sides. Gm 1 of this series was 6-3 and gm 2 last night was 9-8. Detroit has had 9+ runs scored in 7 of last 8 games. They have a few injuries but guys are stepping in and stepping up to earn bigger roles. Indians send Trevor Bauer to the hill. He gave up 5 runs on 11 hits last time out. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings. He is 2-3 on the year with 3.00 ERA. And he only allowed 2 runs in 7 innings last time out vs the tigers earlier this year. But overall he is 5-5 with 7.26 ERA in 13 career starts vs the tigers. Ryan Carpenter gets the nod for Detroit. 0-0 with 7.36 ERA. This will be his 2nd start after being called up last week. He gave up 3 runs on 5 hits in 3 innings vs pitt in his debut. He had 7 starts in triple A with 5.01 ERA. Last season he was 10-9 4.15 ERA in triple A. Tiger closer has pitched 4 days in a row so he most likely wont be out there if needed. The over is 16-5-1 Cleveland's last 22 games. Over is 18-7-1 last 26 on grass. Over is 35-17-1 in Detroits last 53 home games. Over is 11-1 in Bauers last 12 starts vs Detroit. I think we get some runs today with these two on the mound. Over 9 is the play. Go bats and Good luck to all. 
Published: 16-05-2018, 17:54 CET Pick: Over 9
Odds: 1.95 at Bovada

Category: MLB baseball
Date: 16-05-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)

Four-Seam 16-05-2018, 18:54
yep. I am on Indians over 5,5. i think they can cover it by their own even for your total over. Even Miller was rusty, did you see him getting smashed? unreal stuff
Fastmoney 16-05-2018, 19:30
Yes. He is not himself lately. Strange how a pitcher can be so dominant one year. And disappear the next. Life of a star pitcher is short lived. Unless you are nolan ryan or randy johnson. They threw 100 mph their whole career. Kershaw also dominant. But most pitchers are only at the top for a short time. Once they lose speed on the fastball the change up doesnt work as well. You saw first hand with Tim Lincecum.
Four-Seam 16-05-2018, 20:36
True, but working as a reliever and a starter is a total differnt story. Miller is owning batters since 3 years now ( yankees are silly for releasing him ). Top notch relievers are dominant for much longer time. Davis, Chapman, Herera and Kimbrel for example. But you talk like Miller is done. That was just one outing becuse he is coming from an injurie. Miller has good numbers this year, just two bad outings in total. He is human after all, but only because he is not healthy, lol. Do not get me started about Tim lincecum :( Huge fan of him, damn he was good, how he outdueled guys such as Roy Halladay ( RIP ). He lost more than velocity though, no bite either in his pitches, Really a pity, hope he will bounce back with the Rangers.
Fastmoney 16-05-2018, 21:51
Ha. Yes. Very true. Starter and reliever are much different careers. I got a little carried away. Miller is far from done. Nice hit with Cleveland TT. I expected a little more from Detroit. But thats why its called gambling. I keep looking at the Boston/Oakland game. I go back and forth. I think Boston should definitely be favored with Sale on the mound. But I like the +$ on Oakland. They are playing just as well as Boston over last couple weeks.
Four-Seam 16-05-2018, 22:42
Yeah bad luck with this one mate, Detroit did not deliver but with a little luck the Tribe could score 9 at least here. I have exactly the same. A`s are strong away from home when you look at the hitting data they have some scary power. And Cahill looking good but also a small sample. Sale on the other side most of the time reliable to avoid the sweep. I stay away from that one, could not make up my mind either. If i HAD to pick no matter what: Red Sox -1.5. But i will not put money on it

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