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TheWooooo
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Colorado - Dallas    (lost)

I am not a fan of these MLS matches under the week and especially not a fan of playing the road teams in these matchups, but i think this line is wrong by almost half a goal, so this is a no brainer. First of all, i know that Dallas has lost all of their 6 road games, but some games were quite unlucky and if we look at xG, they have been quite unlucky. According to xG both teams are absolutely even, with Dallas having an edge in non shot xG. This is just a nice spot with one team that has overperformed meeting a team that has underperformed their xG, when in reality both teams are on the same level. I also have an edge on the OVER actually, with does not happen often, but with current price, that is looking like a smart play as well.
Published: 21-07-2021, 01:27 CET Pick: Dallas+1
Odds: 1.891 at Pinnacle


Category: US football
Date: 22-07-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 5 (tipster's average: 5)



TheWooooo 22-07-2021, 06:48
wow 0.7 to 0.6 xG...

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