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Croatia - Denmark    (lost)

World Cup, Russia 2018, R16

Croatia IMO is much bigger favorite against Denmark than these almost even odds suggests. And probably till the kickoff we won't have such great odds and value on Croatia. I'm predicting the closing odds will be around 1.70. 
So, this bet must be taken rather sooner than later, if you like Croatia of course. And how you can not like this team after performance they showed in group stage? In competition with Argentina, Iceland and Nigeria it was expected Croats to qualify but they did it in style, winning all three games, conceding just once and scoring seven goals. Especially was impressive 3:0 win over Argentina. 
In final round of group stage Croatia was better from Iceland (the team who knew to make them trouble in the past) although it was almost completely changed starting eleven for Croatia compared with game against Argentina. So, the Croats showed they don't have only high quality starters but this is one very deep squad. The only goal they conceded was in game vs Iceland and it was from penalty. 

Denmark on the other side wasn't impressive during group stage, at least not in my eyes. One win over Peru (1:0) and two draws (Australia and France).
If we know Peru missed a penalty against them at 0:0 score and if we know final round vs France (0:0) was embarrassing game to say at least (neither team showed desire to win), then we can say Denmark was pretty fortunate to qualify. I'm not talking only about mentioned Peru penalty but also they were lucky to play France in final round. If that game was earlier, I have no doubts France would beat them. 

Denmark didn't convince me that they could be serious threat for this Croatian superb squad. Croatia for me is one of favorites to go all the way while Denmark is pretty much on the level of their neighbors Sweden or other Scandinavian side, the mentioned Iceland. What more Iceland in last few years probably was the No.1 team in that part of Europe and we saw how Croatian reserves dealt with them. I am sure Denmark won't be more successful when in a few days meet the best and more important rested Croatian starting eleven. 
Published: 27-06-2018, 03:24 CET Pick: Croatia
Odds: 1.91 at Betway


Category: International football
Date: 01-07-2018
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



aron50 01-07-2018, 13:19
very good pick..
Remy 01-07-2018, 22:58
Croatia got lucky today but will be in the semis for sure.

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