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Croatia - Serbia    (won)

European championship 2018, group stage

I must take here Croatia in their opening game vs Serbia. IMO we have here two quite different levels of quality. BTW, this is by far the biggest handicap among today's games but IMO it's for a good reason. I don't trust to Serbia at all. Yes, Serbia has some high quality players but as a team they are not working well. 
In preparation period Serbia has played in terrible form. They have been losing game after game, easily, three to four goals difference and in games where they were in fact 1.50 to 1.60 favorites. I refer to games on tournament in Switzerland where Serbia has been defeated from the host as well from Romania. Serbia was there without couple important players but they have had all players available later in meeting with Slovenia (although some did no take part in game) and we saw again very week match. Against Slovenia, Serbia was more or less close for 30 minutes but at the end it was easy defeat, 36:32. 
IMO Serbia is not good enough and they are poorly coached as well. We have way better coaches then Cvetkovic but unfortunately they are on benches of some other countries.
The main question is whether Serbia can play better from this we saw in preparation period? IMO of course they can but now they will face also more serious opponents. Croatia for me is one of the most quality sides on these championship plus they are the hosts of this competition. We know and history proved how important is having home court advantage on competitions like this.
Furthermore, the game will be played in Split not in Zagreb. IMO Split favor even more Croatia then if it was game in Zagreb. Cause I'm sure in Split it will be pretty unpleasant atmosphere for Serbian team, unpleasant to say at least. I really doubt Serbian players will manage well in such environment.
On the other side some can argue how for Croatia win is a win, meaning couple goals advantage or 7 to 8 is the same thing. And probably this is true cause we won't see in this group goal difference to be crucial cause I expect Croatia will win all games of this first stage. But, in meeting against Serbia, if turn out the host is much stronger (and I really think they are), IMO Croatia will go for a huge victory. Do not expect from hosts to slow down late in the game. 
Expected result: 32:25.
Published: 12-01-2018, 17:29 CET Pick: Croatia -5
Odds: 1.81 at Pinnacle

Category: European handball
Date: 12-01-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)

El_Gringo 12-01-2018, 19:52
Serbia should not be underated they have enough quality plus Croatia coach is Cervar so no big difference wins are like strong defence slow play and that is where Serbia get chance still I choose some other bets like Marsenic under 2,5 and Duvnjak under 4,5 first is too slow and defence of Croatia will noot allow goals from middle as they are very strong there on other Duvnjak will not play in my opinion to much as was injured plus they have Cindric there so to big magin for him GL with pick I skip today games as odds were crap and results from first matches show that
Remy 12-01-2018, 20:20
Gringo, as far as i`ve seen, serbia is just slightly better than romania. Clearly right now they find themselves in the 2nd tier of men handball teams.
El_Gringo 12-01-2018, 20:59
This is more than just game pressure on Croats for sure Serbia are able to win against France then to lose against Lithuania for example so far they are worst where expect on goalkeeper position their problem is in head they have quality to play for medal but players or some of them do not want to play for national team others play like individuals that is other problem Croatia is very old to much old playets there

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