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Croatia vs Lithuania    (won)

The total given for this game is way too low.
Lithuania are not in the best of shape at the moment, let us be honest. They still possess enough talent to harm Croatia's defence - they have enough talent to cause troubles to any defence. The problem for Lithuania is their own defence, which was worse than horrible in last Sunday's friendly match against Latvia. Latvia hit 15 threes, but that's not very much surprising as they are a team of superb snipers. What amazes is how easy Latvia found open shot options and they were simply enjoying the game. Croatia are going to do the same, because of a few good reasons. They must win this game to stay in the race for the World Championships, and they are playing at home. Saric and Bogdanovic will likely be unstoppable to Lithuania - the Baltic nation don't have persons good enough to accomplish this mission. When Saric and Bogdanovic are doing well the other players get inspired and Croatia demonstrate their power, therefore I anticipate a lot of points scored for Croatia.
Are they worth the odds around 1.35 to win the game? Absolutely not! Lithuania are missing a few very important playes, but keep in mind they are generally so much better than Croatia. For many years Croatia have had some very bright basketball stars, but their eternal problem is being short in depth - a virtue that is seldom experienced by Lithuania. Besides, it's likely that the hosts will have tough times defensively.
Instead of going with the masses and taking Croatia with Asian handicap as favourites, I prefer staaking on overs as I feel it's a quality bet.
Published: 13-09-2018, 09:29 CET Pick: Over 152.5
Odds: 1.93 at Betclic


Category: International basketball
Date: 14-09-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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