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Crvena zvezda mts - Zalgiris Kaunas    (lost)


The Serbian team is 1-1 after two first rounds. That was better than I expected.  I thought they would lose both first two road games especially since their situation with roster wasn't very best.  Lost in Istanbul from Fener, won in Tel Aviv against Maccabi. 
But,  if we see how Maccabi has played (even after it), then Zvezda's win in Tel Aviv really losses value cause Maccabi is terrible now early in the season. 

Today Cz meets another opponent who started in bad form.  It's Zalgiris. But I think it's good spot to go against Zvezda.
Firstly,  they're now the favourites and we are having too many points on our side. Zvezda traditionally is having problems with Zalgiris. The Lithuanian team has won more games in Belgrade than they lost.  

After 0-2 start,  Zalgiris has changed the head coach.  Slovenian coach Jure Zdovc has arrived. We know usually after coach change the team reaction is good in those first couple games. 
Also, Zdovc is known as coach who give big attention to defense,  the same as Radonjic on the other side. So in theory this should be lower scoring game and if so,  than it favor the Underdog plus the points. 
Crvena zvezda by the way during the weekend has suffered the loss in ABA liga from Igokea. It was terrible game for them. Igokea was up 20+ pts already after first half. 
Many games early in the season and on short rest plus injuries and slowly it's affecting Cz as it was expected.  I hope this continue today.  

Published: 13-10-2021, 10:55 CET Pick: Zalgiris Kaunas +6.5
Odds: 1.91 at Unibet


Category: European basketball
Date: 13-10-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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