The Red Wings have the rest advantage and home rink. This will allow to optimize offense with the last change and this season, the Red Wings have been clinical at home. The team is in good form right now and offense is trustworthy during every match. Defense wise, it's not a reliable team but so are the Senators. Power play is an asset this season with 38 goals and a conversion of 25%. This could be the edge in today's match-up. They met a couple of weeks ago and the Red Wings prevailed.
The Sens are on back-to-back after a physical and "disappointing" game against the Canadiens. They were led, they tied, they led, got tied and lost in OT with a goal from Caufield. It was an emotional game and a derby. I don't know how they will react. Jake Sanderson called out goaltending which is pretty harsh but then allowing 6 goals out of 19 shots is terrible. Sooooo, James Reimer is projected on goal and he is a question mark. He hasn't played since a while, let's see.
I think the Red Wings can take the win. Rest will be key and power play. The Senators have the second worst penalty kill and they take a lot of penalty minutes. I was hesitating with the Over but I will root with a home win.
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