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Detroit Tigers - Cleveland Indians    (won)

4.0 line against Tomlin, for real?

Hey this is baseball, everything can happen, Tomlin might pitch a gem. But i will tell you ( again ) why this line is totally wrong and at least one run too short.

This is what i wrote about Tomlin the last time:

''He is 0-4 with a 9.16 to begin with. But he pitched even worse than that as he has a 10.01 FIP(!). That is almost like harder to do, that bad he is. No SO power, and NO VELOCITY.

Lets dig deeper into that.

His Fastball against the Halos- 87.3 MPH

His Fastball against the Tigers- 88.1 MPH

'' against the Cubs - 89.4 MPH

against the M's - 87.3

So he topped against the Tigers but gassed out already against the Mariners. With other words, bad velocity and no improvement whatsoever. Five years ago his average velocity was 90,5 so it´s a big difference. And this against a very good fastball team as the Yankees? Good luck with that, he needs a super comeback. His record here also not too good, he has an 8.57 ERA in 21 career innings at Yankee Stadium.''

And what happened? Yankees tagged him with four runs and could do much more damage. ( pretty crazy that my bet did not win, but that is another story )
So Miggy probably will miss this game also, a pity as he is Detroit's best player. But they played without him in the series against the Mariners and they scored 14 runs in that 3-game series and that against really good pitchers. Tigers are strong at home as a dog.

 Tomlin pitched one outing against Detroit this year and did not allow any runs, but he was nothing but lucky not to get tagged for a couple. Do not believe my word on it, just look at that 5.72 xFIP in that outing, pretty different than his 0.00 ERA in that game, hm?
If you still do not get it, Tomlin was all over the place this year. Just not good enough for MLB, not anymore and we must wait and see if he will bounce back.

Also, Tigers play much better at home. On the road they score 3.95 RPG.  At home they score 4.95 RPG. At home they have also much more quality bats.

Line is too short, that means we have a play.
Published: 15-05-2018, 00:08 CET Pick: Detroit Over 4.0
Odds: 1.82 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 16-05-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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