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Djokovic - Krajinovic    (lost)

ATP Vienna

Nole playing in Vienna after so long (2007 his last time) just to add points to retain the world No. 1 spot as he wants to break Federer's most weeks in such position (19 weeks difference right now). The Serbian won't play the Paris Masters next week as he can't add points there, so that's it. I still expect Nole to be committed in Vienna, although his level and anger aren't comparable to when playing GS tournaments. In my mind a slow start is possible in his first match since his painful loss to Rafa in the RG final, also the Vienna draw is very competitive this year and playing compatriot Krajinovic in R1 is by no means a trivial matchup. I think Nole is too short at 1.10- as fair odds should be around 1.20 for me. Filip has been disappointing after Rome and right after facing Nole there in what was an extremely balanced match (Krajinovic was really impressive in the first set and turned up fully motivated), then surprisingly came two early loss in Paris and Cologne. I consider Krajinovic top-15 material and one of the few guys who can challenge Djokovic from the baseline (on a good day) and give birth high-level rallies. Also Filip plays his best tennis in indoor courts whose conditions are neither too fast nor too slow, just like Vienna's. The only bad thing is that Krajinovic doesn't enter this match with that good dose of confidence you need when you have to play the best player on tour, but I'm sure he will find many stimuli playing Nole once again. What else to say, Nole and Filip are good friends and even practiced together in Belgrade last week. Krajinovic to win a set, it may not be easy but I definitely like these abundant odds.




Published: 27-10-2020, 00:11 CET Pick: Krajinovic +1.5 Sets
Odds: 3.64 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 27-10-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)




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