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TheStarling
 
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Dodgers V.S. Rays    (won)

So I will preface by saying that I wasn't going to bet this game/series.  However, I can't ignore the context of the situation.  

Kershaw V.S. Glassnow:
1) Kershaw 3 last games ERA/WHIP: 3.32/.937 Glassnow last 3 ERA/WHIP: 5.40/1.350
2) Dodgers Bullpen: 2.83/1.060 Rays Bullpen: 3.38/1.235
3) Dodgers postseason BAA: Rays postseason BAA: 
4) Dodgers AB strikeouts per game: 8.01 Rays AB strikeouts per game: 10.24
5) Dodgers RISP per game: 3.33 Rays RISP per game: 3.46
6) Kershaw VS Rays: BA: .076 OBP: .108 SLG: .102 WHIP: .210 Glassnow VS Dodgers: BA: .292 OBP: .453 SLG: .806 WHIP: 1.258
7) The Market has fluctuated since opening at -160 dipping then raising back to its opening price for the Dodgers.  

While this game is closer to a 50/50 than the stats suggest I can't ignore the metrics on the Dodgers.  Granted their performance in game 7 against the Braves was anything but convincing (winning the game on HR's) as the Braves really just failed at the plate with 3 pathetic hits.  The Ray's go through cold streaks in their hitting. The Dodgers are the wrong team to do that against.  I like the Dodgers to score first in the game and I have a hard time seeing the Rays coming back from a deficit.  

Starling says: LA Dodgers on the moneyline.
Published: 21-10-2020, 01:24 CET Pick: Dodgers - ML
Odds: 1.65 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 20-10-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 02:12
Kershaw known world series choker, in one of the games (probably 2 outings), he will choke again probably..... i took rays over 6.5 strikeouts as they are a SO machine + whatever i like in play :) I am curious how they will handle that big Glasnow Curve (one of the best curves ever), as they are not that strong against the curveball...so a lot of interesting things. Wish you luck.
FollowME 21-10-2020, 02:37
I am personally on Rays ML @ 2.40 // Good luck to all ;)
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 02:41
has value for sure @followme, but i want to wait, if still tied after 4-5 innings or so, big value with the devil rays. Damn, Kersh his cutter is steaming up, oldskool trick with his cutter on fooling righties
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 02:58
Kershaw was totally off in the first inning, tampa had to jump on him then because Kersh is really powering up, his offspeed stuff looks stellar, he is even throwing a slider around 84 MPH now, very rare for him
FollowME 21-10-2020, 03:09
Yeah... pity that they didn’t catch him in first inning. But Dodgers are not impressive in batting so far and Glassnow is upping his game also
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:16
that is really credits to Glasnow, i knew his curve would cause problems to the Dodgers, bad matchup and he is not even at his best.
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:17
5 Ks already, 2 more needed, meanwhile i have green on under 2.5 first 3 innings, now i need also under 1.5 first 5 innings..
FollowME 21-10-2020, 03:21
Well spotted Dutchy :)
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:26
2-run homer LA
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:26
Glasnow topping 101 MPH wow
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:29
really his only problem, allowing many homers, so many already this postseason.
FollowME 21-10-2020, 03:30
Yeah fuck him... now he`s lost it completely. My bet is gone, congrats Starling, going to sleep ;)
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:39
yeah sucks but so much baseball left, good for starling though
FollowME 21-10-2020, 03:45
Rays on the bat look amateur as fuck
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:45
homerun rays
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:46
amateur xD
FollowME 21-10-2020, 03:48
Yeah solo homerun, it practically came out of nowhere, because with this batting performance vs this pitching, I think Dodgers will win 9 out of 10. But their batting is amateur yeah :D :D
FollowME 21-10-2020, 03:53
5 Walks from Glas so far... pitching just as good as batting hahahaha I bet the whole team during the breaks is reading "Baseball for dummies volume 1"
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:53
:D Rays are more of a pitching team, LA`s offense is better, BUT dont rule out rays, scoring at the right times is what they do best.
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:54
walk will come and hunt Glasnow now
FollowME 21-10-2020, 03:56
Glasnow is the king of Walks tonight, batters barely manage to see the ball and you are saying this more a pitching team... hahaha not reassuring :D I guess the Rays should play each inning with 5 OUTS
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 03:59
dude, you do not understand, haha, with pitching i mean they have better pitching than batting....you know how they reached the WS? exactly, with pitching...or you think this is an explosive offensive lineup? ROFL
FollowME 21-10-2020, 04:02
I know I know, I just prefer to laugh right now while watching this :) In this inning we have 2 walks and 2 stolen bases and runs - amazing xD
FollowME 21-10-2020, 04:06
Ok, obviously Glasnow is part of Dodgers team... he fucked up the whole match :D I am officially out as well now. Good night ;)
Four-Seam 21-10-2020, 04:09
thats baseball :) you took Rays big or something? :O
thestarling 21-10-2020, 05:49
Yeah that was a rough one. Sorry Follow :( I just couldn`t see Kershaw losing 2 in a row and in playoff baseball it`s been the teams with the heavier bats that have done better (Nationals the sole exception). I do like the Rays to steal one of the next two games, but I just don`t trust Blake Snell against these hitters. The Dodgers lineup just keeps coming at you like some reoccurring bad dream. Good luck guys!

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