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Ebden - Coric    (lost)

Ebden was ill last week in Tokyo but seems to be ok now as he is playing his best tennis. He likes this tournament as he achieved his only other ATP 1000 QF here in 2011. He has perfect game for fast conditions because he comes a lot to the net. Main reason that he is a stable top 50 player now is that he improved his serve a lot. In the past he wasn't dangerous with serve + he was making like 10 double faults per match. Nowadays his serve can be a weapon as he is able to often finish the point with first volley. His performances here were really good. His best match was probably against Thiem who didn't play badly at all in my opinion, but came out with nothing. Matthew will face Coric tomorrow who is also playing some solid stuff. He was lucky that Delpo injured his knee, because it looked like JMDP was feeling a bit better with his health today. Still Borna had to play solid to keep his serve until 5-5 and did it pretty comfortably. We'll have a clash of styles tomorrow as Ebden likes to finish the point early while Coric likes to play longer points. I believe this should be an equal match and because both are serving very well in this tournament I am going for an over here. I have some small bets on Ebden ML and Ebden set because I see some value there, but this is my main bet in this match.
Published: 11-10-2018, 18:58 CET Pick: Over 22 games
Odds: 1.869 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 12-10-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 3 (tipster's average: 4)




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