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Elversberg - Homburg    (lost)

Ger Regio Southwest,

 

Last match of the year "Saar Derby"

 

Elversberg  7-3-9 10th place only 24 points disappointing season and no chance for promotion. Too many changes and lost key players at summer and a changing season for them and focus should be on next years . Anyway very important game as it is a Saar derby and Homburg won first match already with 3:0 clear at their home ground, so Elversberg should be motivated enough to for revenge here. Quality this season is weaker than Homburg 4 of last 6 matches lost also 2 of last 3 at home lost and only average 5-0-5 home stats.

 

Homburg is newly promoted team but having top squad and good budget for regio level. Top start  won 5 of first 6 matches . But than had a really bad period and only 2 wins out of 8 games ending with a crushing 1:5 lost against leaders Mannheim. Next matches they took a close 1:0 win against promo team Balingen , 0:0 at Pirmasens and last 3 matches started to show great matches again. 2:1 home win with best performance of the season against Kickers Offenbach, 4:0 homewin against Worms and 2:0 lately against Stuttgart U23. Striker Dulleck in great form and scored already 9 goals. For this match they are missing important Player Lienhard with yellow card suspension, but have a wide squad.

 

Actually Homburg should not be outsiders here and are small favourites, but still derby so high draw potential and recommend to bet on +0.25 Homburg here.

Published: 06-12-2018, 17:31 CET Pick: AHC +0.25 Homburg
Odds: 1.79 at Pinnacle


Category: German football
Date: 07-12-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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