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Energetik-BGU – Neman    (won)

I do personally expect win of Energetik, but because of some circumstances I do favor over. They started to play much better lately – at least at home. They get 5 points from last 3 home matches that separated them quite a bit from relegation positions. They tend to concede a lot with far worst defence in league and lot of high scoring games.

Therefore I dont really get the o/u lines. Of course Neman didnt have much o2.5 matches this year (especially away), but Energetik will attack today and will make mistakes in defence as always. They will also miss their top and only at least a bit reliable CB Grechishko (and important DM Nosko still injured), so it would be quite surprise to me if they will manage to go with clean sheet.

But also in case of Neman everything speaks for over. They had terrible may and june losing five games in row, scoring only three golas in this period, but also concede a lot! And I think they will continue to struggle in defence – more when they will play on artifical grass (lost 2 of 3 matches this year) and when they will be without CB Gorbach. Their probable defence line Bebey – Kantaria – Leshko doesnt seem such reliable etc.

But also their offensive part seems to wake up at least a little bit. Neman won 3:0 at Torpedo last week and altough Torpedo is joke tight now it could really help Neman offensive part.

I think anything exceeding 1.90 has a value here.

Published: 06-07-2019, 10:49 CET Pick: over 2.5
Odds: 2.05 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Belarusian football
Date: 06-07-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 6)




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