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FC Volendam - Jong Ajax    (lost)

23/02 18:45

Usually some rest is good but when you've had over two weeks rest and you are directly up against a very talented Jong Ajax side it could spell trouble without the necessary match tempo after a couple of weeks without competitive matches. Volendam didn't show much before their break, 4 losses in 7. With Ajax you never really know, which senior team players will be included such as amazing talents Traore, Brobbey to name a few. Traore didn't play in the league, Bobbey played like 15 mins. Its a little bit unfortunate that Ajax plays Lille in the EL a few days after this and therefore maybe we'll see less action from fist team players here, especially in the attacking department as Ajax incredible enough missed to register Heller for EL. But despite this, 4,20 on Ajax here looks interesting. Ajax very unpredictable but on their day they can trash any team in this league and I recon we will see a few first team players here ... Volendam so long without competitive football and directly up against this Ajax team who is always a treat going forward, I smell trouble. 4.20 looks quite ok, I would be closer mid-high 3's myself. 

Best, 
Boggen
Published: 22-02-2021, 16:18 CET Pick: Jong Ajax
Odds: 4.2 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Dutch football
Date: 23-02-2021
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 7)



Boggen 23-02-2021, 00:51
365 adjusted down to 3,75 now about an hour ago. I think Pinny is the only company above 4 now. I think it will be a bit tricky for the home team to click directly, especially offensively since they haven`t played a competitive match for so long. Hopefully Ajax brings Traore, Brobbey and a couple of more guys. Looking at the table Volendam has scored more goals, but 18 out of 48 goals came during a crazy week in October. Volendam`s important centre defender Mike Eerdhuijzen got injured on the training session yesterday and is a question mark now.
Boggen 23-02-2021, 17:45
Falling now quite a bit, no Brobbey but good team incl Traore. 3.50-3.70 now at most places and shortening.
Boggen 23-02-2021, 17:56
188bet from 3.85 to 3,10 in the last 30 mins or so. Betsson 3.75 to 3,30 and a few others too. Big move after linups came.
Boggen 23-02-2021, 17:59
4,20 in the preview @365 is now 3,50.
Boggen 23-02-2021, 18:01
Dropping very quick this one guys.
Boggen 23-02-2021, 18:12
365 3,30 now ... BetVictor also slashing in panic by the looks of things, 4.33 to 3,30 in like 45 mins. Just to mention, obv just because a price gets slashed doesn`t mean it will win but feels good to sit with 4,20 here, and 2,20 in Chesterfield. Lets keep going :)
Boggen 23-02-2021, 18:30
3.10 ....
Boggen 23-02-2021, 20:42
Speechless. Was still a good bet. Lets keep going.
FCpicks 23-02-2021, 20:48
:( That hurts... You deserve full credit
fdjsklr 23-02-2021, 22:30
this is a fucking unlucky friend... but I really like ur betting style
Boggen 23-02-2021, 22:51
Cheers guys, became a great day today anyway with big bet on Chesterfield + Bradford. This was awful though, but luck and bad luck balances out. Another day we`ll have lady luck on our side. But really difficult to accept this one. I work my socks off to find the best possible value and when this happens its tough despite a good day.

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