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FK Velez Mostar - FK Sarajevo    (lost)

Premijer Liga. Match will be played at 4:00 p.m.

Velez was promoted Premijer Liga in 2019. Last 2 seasons was 3rd and 5th. Now the home team is ranked 9th.
Sarajevo plays in Premijer Liga from the beginning. Last 2 seasons was 2nd and 4th. Now is 4th.
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Season statistics:
Velez 9 2-5-2 goals 10:8, at home 3 2-1-0 goals 8:2.
Sarajevo 10 4-3-3 goals 16:17 an away 4 1-1-2 goals 6:9
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Form:
Velez 6 2-3-1 goals 9:6, at home 3 2-1-0 goals 8:2.
Sarajevo 6 1-3-2 goals 7:9 an away 3 0-1-2 goals 3:8.
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Under / over:
Velez u/o 2,5 - 6/3 (at home 1/2), average 2,00 (at home 3,34). BTS 5/4 (1/2).
Sarajevo u/o 2,5 - 4/6 (an away 1/3), average 3,30 (an away 3,75). BTS 4/6 (1/3).
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H2H statistics from 2002-2022: 34 matches 6-13-15 goals 29:44, in Mostar 18 4-8-6 goals 16:17. The only league matches.
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Velez players have a value 5 mln., and Sarajevo - 7 mln. Velez absences: right defender Muminovic (0). Sarajevo absences: center-back Anicic (1/0/0), right defender Muhammed (9/1/2), defensive midfielder Djukanovic (10/0/0), defensive midfielder Avramovski (1/0/0), left forward Dzafic (10/1/1). The value of the absent Sarajevo players is 2.35 mln. euro!
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Summary: before this match, attention should be paid first of all to the staffing situation of both clubs. Absences mainly are in Sarajevo, in defensive line. Sarajevo has more potential in the offensive, but Velez has a group of offensive players who can take advantage of the visitors' defensive problems. In my opinion, in this match there will be many goals scored and probably by both teams. H2H statistics show that Sarajevo is an uncomfortable opponent for Velez, but playing at home improves Velez's chances. Probably Velez will take advantage of the staff weakness of the guests and win this match, but the market probably already took into account the staff weakness of the guests. When I am writing this text bookmakers pay 2,15 for the victory of Velez. Therefore, I think that it is better to invest money in the goal market. This season, an average goal of over 3 goals per game has been recorded in Velez's home and Sarajevo's away matches. That is why I bet on the goal over, which is well paid, as it seems to me. The statistics show me that over option is better than BTS option.
Published: 18-09-2022, 22:11 CET Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2.17 at Unibet


Category: Bosnian football
Date: 19-09-2022
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 5 (tipster's average: 4)




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