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F. Cerundolo - Baez    (won)

Challenger Concepcion

Still on Baez's side in a safer way for the final, I couldn't do otherwise since he has been the best player this week and I don't expect Sebastian to give in easily to Cerundolo. Francisco himself is a rising clay-courter at this level and was showing it last year when he won 3 Challenger titles, often with close matches and even saving MPs, that's happened in Concepcion too. So he has some skills when playing under pressure, but still there wasn't high level from him this week and the only match he won easily (yesterday's) was due to Tabilo's clear fatigue after playing a big marathon against Coria the day before. Baez has been playing very solid e was also more aggressive yesterday, almost flawless. Cerundolo is maybe the strongest player Baez is playing in this tournament, but I really expect Sebastian to stay close at worst and I'm personally giving him fair chances to lift the trophy. Quite confident on Baez to win a set (great value IMO), while Baez +4/+3.5 games are valid alternatives as well.


Published: 21-02-2021, 16:20 CET Pick: Baez +1.5 Sets
Odds: 1.83 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 21-02-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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