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Ficovich J. P. - Baez S.    (lost)

I find value in this pick, particulary cause Baez looked shaky and vulnerable yesterday. I can't shake off a feeling he is still in last weeks final in his mind where he gambled almost won first set, and than went on to loose. Not the first time he lost double break, in his previous tournament against Agamenone literally same thing happened.
Now, Alvarez failed to serve out for the set yesterday, he was better the whole set, but eventualy choked and fell apart after that. Baez offered decent amount of chances on his serve and I think if the better was across the net, match would go in different direction.
Ficovich did not play first part of the season ( I tried to find some infos why, but could't), but I think he is starting to pick up now little more. Had good couple of matches when he returned, and it seems like even when he looses, that is always tight, he definetly puts good amount of fight. 
Now, Baez is coming after that miserble defeat in Final, had not so convincing match yesterday and will play against better player than Alvarez. I agree he is favourite, this is after all his 3rd apperance on Santiago this year I think, and he knows courts well. But since Pablo proved he can be competitive against Baez in the past (1-1 in h2h, sure couple of years ago) and he had such good matvh yesterday, I think he has a shot at least for the set.
Published: 13-10-2021, 11:21 CET Pick: Ficovich +1.5 sets
Odds: 2.2 at bwin


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 13-10-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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