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Flora (Est) - Radnicki Nis (Srb)    (lost)

The only thing I don't like here are these odds, 2.10 for away win. I don't think these are bad odds, in fact it's great value if you ask me. But, I don't like it cause it's a little bit fishy. 
Still, it's not that from 1.30 or 1.40 odds went up to 2.10 but in fact initial odds were around 1.90 to 2.00. So, let's call it initial wrong rating by the bookies.
With all respect to Estonian football but these two leagues are incomparable. Serbia of course is not some too great level but you know, last season champions league group stage participant, season before that two clubs in the group stage of Europa League and both came out of the group to knockout stages. I am talking about Crvena zvezda and Partizan of course. Radnicki Nis is not on that level but last season they changed the usual standings in Serbia (1.Partizan, 2. Crvena zvezda or 1.Crvena zvezda, 2. Partizan) by finishing on the second place. 

Radnicki will look differently this season. They have remained without several players, mostly some older but there are replacements which I believe are good too. Crvena zvezda also sent few its players on loan to Radnicki. So IMO the squad is on last season level.
The coach is new too. This is something I don't like. So, there are two things in fact I don't like. Lalatovic moved to Vojvodina. He is crazy (literally) but he is good or better to say excellent coach. And now Radnicki brought Simo Krunic WTF? The biggest clown among coaches in Serbia. In fact, second biggest cause we must give that title to Stevan Mojsilovic.
So, from the coaching angle Radnicki is weaker now but again, I can't pass these amazing odds against Estonian team. I remember days when Partizan was scoring 6 against Flora, then Dinamo Zagreb in more recent times if I remember well had easy games against this opponent. 
I say again, Radnicki is not that level (among best teams in Balkan region) but they are good enough. And we don't have now those 1.05 odds at home and 1.30 away, but we have 2.10. 
Flora was 3rd in Estonia season ago but in one very close race of three teams (3 pts behind the champion). The current season there already started. In fact it's already at half. Flora is the leader this time. But I am browsing all those results and I see they were without home loss entire league season ago while now already with two home losses.
I really think Radnicki could win there. The Serbian team had nice Euro campaign season ago when eventually were stopped by Maccabi Tel Aviv. Only this Krunic clown worries me a little bit. Hopefully he won't go there with only aim not to lose. Because of him and due to fact odds are allowing this, I am taking less risk with -0.25 Asian Handicap. If nothing else, Radnicki shouldn't lose, so the worst scenario is half stake back.

By the way, in preparation period Radnicki had decent results. Obviously not some too serious opponents, they met mainly with Slovenian teams. But, I rate those on or a little bit above Flora's level. 
Published: 11-07-2019, 15:33 CET Pick: Radnički [-0.25] AH
Odds: 1.84 at BetVictor


Category: European football
Date: 11-07-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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