Four-Seam

PICKS	STAKES	PROFIT
1577	13572	+169.7
YIELD	AVG ✓ ODDS	AVG ✗ ODDS
+1%	1.88	1.94
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Flyers - NY Islanders (lost)

I see definitely value with this line and here is why.

Firstly, two strong goalies, in particular Greiss who is confirmed already and he posted an unreal 1.88 GAA with an insane 10.13 GSAA (!). He is 3-0 in November with a 1.34 GAA so he continues his form of last season obviously.

For Philly we should see Elliot in goal as Hart played yesterday. And Elliot posted a solid 2.88 GAA, but the interesting part? He shutout the Isles this season with a 0.00 GAA (!) indeed.

So the Flyers are B2B indeed, but they play solid 'D at home with a 356 CA ( rank #5 ), 146 SCA ( rank#5 ). On the offensive side at home ice only a 74 HDCF ( 20th ) at home.

The Islanders are playing MUCH better 'D on the road with an amazing 286 CA ( 1st ), 130 SCA ( 1st ), 53 HDCA ( 1st ).

So backing the under here.

Published: 16-11-2019, 14:58 CET Pick: Under 6.5 ( Including OT )
Odds: 1.68 at Pinnacle

Category: NHL ice hockey
Date: 17-11-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 9)

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