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Fognini - Rublev    (won)

ATP Monte Carlo

Fognini betrayed me a couple of times last month, but I still think I bet on him when there was value, so it's ok. Fognini is 0/4 on clay this season, something hard to think as Fabio is able to play a big tennis on this surface. He needs to be motivated to do it, no problem from this point of view as this is a Masters. Despite the losses, Fabio wasn't really bad in my opinion, he certainly wasn't lucky in some circumstances and with the draw. I think facing Rublev on slow clay is a good spot for Fognini to finally win a match in these playing conditions. Andrey is already lucky to be into the main draw as he was very close to lose to Tomic in R1 qualies. I mean, Bernard is very poor on clay, but he was leading 6-4 5-3 and wasted 1 MP in the third set. I didn't see that match, but Rublev couldn't have played well if Tomic was so close to win in straight sets in a tournament like Monte Carlo that the Aussie can only hate. The Russian was still lucky to face another poor clay-courter like Humbert in R2. This is a good match-up for Fabio who leads 3-1 over Rublev, he likes to play bashers with just a plan in their game. Even more in slow playing conditions in order to defend better and force the opponent to hit extra shots. Now or never for Fogna who must be patient in this difficult period, value odds for me.
Published: 15-04-2019, 03:09 CET Pick: Fognini
Odds: 2.03 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 15-04-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)



FollowME 15-04-2019, 15:38
This Italian clown made his usual move... playing weak and dropping second set. I stop backing him. It’s an insult to others to watch him nowadays
FollowME 15-04-2019, 17:14
Ok I wrote it too early, he should have lost, but Rublev mentally didn`t keep up. Well done nothing to say
Darkness 15-04-2019, 17:45
Rublev was better than expected today. I think he didn`t deserve to lose but paid the luck he had in qualies. Fognini was great and lucky to stay in the match in that key 6th game of the second set. From there, the match turned around.

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