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Fognini - Travaglia    (void)

ATP Umag

Fognini is going to play many tournaments in the coming weeks, therefore no conservative choice in view of the American swing. Fabio said he wants to play as much as possible, regardless of the points to defend. Because when Fognini stops, then he needs more time to find the right form. I think he may be involved in some long/fought matches, especially at his debut and overall in first rounds. Fognini can easily have a slow start in these small tournaments, so I like this over enough (also considering his opponent, who is an Italian). Travaglia is both a good player and server, there are the conditions to see a balanced match. I'm not a fan of over games on clay, but here I'm making an exception because of Fognini's trend in this type of clashes.

Published: 17-07-2019, 17:24 CET Pick: Over 21
Odds: 1.83 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 17-07-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 9)



dsobol 17-07-2019, 18:10
Just posted about OVERS on clay in somebody elses pick, just play Travaglia plus 1.5 sets, i could be wrong but i think that better +EV IMHO.
Darkness 17-07-2019, 18:59
I agree with your thinking overall. In fact, as I said, I made an exception here. Still Fognini has to defend points this week, I can expect a slow start from him, but he should win at the end. It`s difficult that Travaglia will win in straight sets with under, at the same time he is prone to play close sets in his matches. Fognini might also win 7-6 6-3 or 7-5 6-4, we`ll see.

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