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Fritz - Monfils    (won)

Fritz - Monfils

Monfils can put up a fight here. He seems to be enjoying himself, won the title in Auckland and has 7 straight wins. It is almost as if he has turned back time. Despite being 38, he is sharp athletically speaking and can play here with a "nothing to lose" attitude. 

Fritz is rightful favorite, despite this being two in-form players clashing. As usual, relying on good serve and is nowadays a quite established Major player who tend to go quite deep. The American has not given up much so far in AO, but he has had a comfortable ride on paper. Monfils can offer something more challenging, especially for big servers like himself. I do not foresee a dominant performance by Fritz in this one. This is where it gets a bit more competitive.

It would not be surprising to see this match go beyond 3-0, so I will go for over 3.5 sets here to an interesting price.
Published: 17-01-2025, 16:57 CET Pick: Over 3.5 Sets
Odds: 1.89 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 18-01-2025
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 8)



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