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Fulham - Derby    (lost)

I watched the Derby game and I calculated correctly. Derby kept the points at home. I was also lucky that Bournemouth had a very poor day. Bournemouth, who only scored 1 away goal, conceded 3 times at Pride Park. Victory was not given for free to a Rooney-led Derby. Sam Baldock and Lee Buchanan are both reportedly injured and are doubtful for the game against Fulham. Turning to the home team. Fulham's squad is probably the best in the field. Fulham, led by Marco Silva, are playing a very high-scoring game. The team is already on 48 goals scored.  The Xg for/ Match is 2.07 at home and the AVG average is 3.22. Despite the win, Derby have a number of weaknesses. There were a lot of mistakes on the ball clearances and Bournemouth scored the equaliser from them. A simple tackle where Roos (goalkeeper) made a huge mistake.  Such mistakes can be used by Fulham. Derby's squad is interesting because of the financial problems. It is full of very young talent and has a veteran core like Jagielka (39), Curtis Davies (36). I don't know how much this old defence will be able to compete with Fulham's attackers. Another important factor is Derby's away performance in numbers. The xG For / Match 1.03 would be acceptable, but the xG Against / Match 1.43 is a critical number, while the Scored / Match 0.56 is a very poor indicator. Fulham, on the other hand, have Scored / Match 2.78. Derby are bleeding from many wounds and new injuries show that Fulham can win by goals. 
Published: 22-11-2021, 12:46 CET Pick: -1.75 HC Fulham
Odds: 2.24 at Pinnacle


Category: English football
Date: 24-11-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 8)




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