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Garin - Polmans    (won)

I decided a couple of days ago to write some previews in October here.
I am closely following RG and have made some picks for tomorrow.
My first pick as soon as I saw the opening odds was this one. I already see that Darkness made the same pick but it is just too strong not to write it up. The odds also went a bit down as II didn't have time before to come to Betrush, but still very good odds. I mean everything above 2 odds is an absolute must bet here.

Marc Polmans is an Aussie, a very solid challenger level player. Trying to get into the top100 for the first time in his career. His game is more suited for hard surface but he manages well on clay too. He did have only 3 aces, but very strong numbers on serve points won, close to 75% on first and well over 50 on second. 
Lately he has been able to make some good results on grand slams.

Christian Garin is a typical clay player. and he is an absolute favorite here for sure. 
But there are couple of things, first of all I never thrust players like him to take it easy in 3 sets.
Second, he never went past R2 here before, and overall he doesn't have the GS experience I would like to see in a player I would back up to win straight sets on a GS R2 match.
He lost a set from Kohli who is far from his best and I had that one 3-0 and I burned myself there. 
He also had extremely great 1st serve numbers and still lost a set, so I firmly believe it will be hard for him to win straight sets.


Published: 01-10-2020, 00:54 CET Pick: Polmans +2,5 sets
Odds: 2.19 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 01-10-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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