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Germany U21 - Serbia U21    (won)

EURO, U21, Italy & San Marino

Group stage, Round 2

Germany entering this game as huge favorite, completely deservedly IMO after everything we saw in R1. Back then German team easily defeated Denmark 3:1 with many more missed nice goal chances while Denmark scored only when it was already 3:0. Serbia on the other side suffered embarrassing loss from Austria, 0:2 in game where they have had maybe one real goal chance while Austria could easily score 6 to 7 goals. If you know that Serbian goalkeeper was their best player, then you get the clear picture. One of these dummies even managed to ruin career to one of Austrian players by breaking his leg. It was really scary injury. If you didn't had chance to see, I recommend not to watch at all.

It was terrible game for Serbia, terrible pick for me back then. I made big mistake by trusting them to take the job done. Much stronger Serbian squad compared with qualifications, made me to get wrong impression. But in reality, fact that 5 to 6 guys from senior squad joined now this U21 team, wasn't helpful, it seems this fact only ruined the chemistry. Though, this wasn't first case to something like this happens. I remember the same happened some 20 years ago when in some very important game (I think it was also final tournament), some top quality players of that time (Dejan Stankovic, Perica Ognjenovic...) were back from senior to U21 and we all expected huge result but in fact it happened huge failure. 

In any case, if you want to bet on Germany today, you have all reasons to do so except the fact, there isn't much value in it. You would need to risk much to reach some decent odds (handicap or HT-FT). German 1x2 win though, seems like good material for some short combo.
As for single bet, I feel goals are the best option. "BTS? Yes", IMO is worth a risk. No matter Serbia disappointed big time, and no matter they are going probably to lose today, I believe they are going to score.
Serbian mentality is like that. As mentioned last time, they have had many success in the past in different youth categories but when they fails, they fails big time and in moment you don't expect. But against top opponents, usually would surprise too, with good game. The same is in senior. Just look on the start of EURO 2020 qualifications. They managed to stay unbeaten on very tough road game in Portugal but then conceded 5 in Ukraine.

Back to today's match, it's not allowed option here on Betrush but probably the best choice would be BTS & O2.5 or Germany & BTS. As a pick, I'm going with BTS. 
Published: 20-06-2019, 15:50 CET Pick: YES
Odds: 1.75 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: European football
Date: 20-06-2019
Option: Both To Score
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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