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Giron V Rublev    (won)

Rublev took his defeat against Arnaldi pretty emotional and displayed a good ammount of tantrums during the whole match. I would say his mental game decreased and this is not reffering only because of the French Open. He started being more unstable which is a strange thing because one would think that with maturing, it would be the opposite. 

Now, I took a look at the stats a bit because I was interested how he performs when he plays his first match on grass after the clay swing. It turns out that in 6 seasons (his matches right after clay), he lost a set 5 times and actually losing a couple of times as a big favourit. The only clean win came vs Khacanov in '21. Now, Rublev is a defending champ here, we can't NOT TO take that into consideration, however, just because of that, the odds are set the way they are. Especislly with Giron showing some good tennis in Stuttgart dispatching Murray and taking a set from Draper who ultimately won the title. The american practicaly just wanted to get it over with the clay swing and can be at his best again.

Important to mention is their last match in Rome, when Giron despite being much weaker on clay, managed to play extremly well and was even on a brink of winning with a break up in the 3rd. I am giving him a lot more chances on grass + the adaptation factor. It would be foolish of me to write off Rublev here, as he is a better player, but Giron isn't this much of a dog. I think Rublev with start initialy slow (like always) and Giron should use this to his advantage. I really like these odds giving all the factors. 

One more interesting bet for those willing to take make risks is for Rublev to win from behind (after losing an opener) at odds @6
Published: 17-06-2024, 23:05 CET Pick: Giron +1.5
Odds: 2.06 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 18-06-2024
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)


Sparco10 18-06-2024, 13:58
great analysis
DelRio 18-06-2024, 14:22
Thanks, I had also on small stake my 2nd bet, but Giron toped him completely :)
Sparco10 18-06-2024, 14:25
i sent you 2eur to refund your bet
DelRio 18-06-2024, 14:27
Thanks man :))

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