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Giustino - Diez    (won)

Blois Challenger

Going again to oppose Giustino who is once again overrated for me. He was nothing special today, the same for Muller, so that wasn't a quality match. Still Lorenzo managed to win by coming back from a set down. Diez is one of my favourite player on Challenger tour, he is very annoying to face because of his fighting spirit, consistency from the baseline and that grunting to the limit he make. Also Diez is prone to fight even when he lose, as Steven is 14-7 on clay this season and lost in straight sets just twice. In those 7 defeats it should be considered an injury with withdrawal and the bad trip he had in Kazakhstan before this tournament (he seemed strangely listless and also made some tanking). Returned to play in Europe, the Canadian was good as usual today and had no problem to beat Guinard. I still think Giustino doesn't play at his best on European clay, although he is confident at this time. I see Diez as a slight favourite in this match-up and I like his odds with plus handicap. Steven should be able to fight hard at worst.




Published: 19-06-2019, 20:37 CET Pick: Diez +2.5
Odds: 1.92 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 20-06-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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