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Goias - Coritiba    (lost)


two teams in the middle of the championship, both of them playing very open, fast paced football, this will have all the ingredients to be a match with a lot of good scoring opportunities and a few goals.
The brasilien serie B isn't a place where goals ussually are in abundance, in fact that is probably why the odds are so high and the opportunities for good value bets exist. 

Another data that leads me into believing this will be an open game is the way both teams are playing either at home and away, at home Goais played 8 games (3W , 2D, 3 L), but has scored 10 goals and suffered 12, so most of them open games even when they faced teams with strong defensive records and with a very slow paced football, on the other hand Coritiba has been quite poor playing away from home, they only got 4 draws out of 8 games, but when you look at the goals they scored 8 and suffered 14, again even facing teams that ussually don't score that much the open way they approach the had an influence of the final outcome.

I don't expect any team to change their phylosophy and expect a game where opportunities and goals will be very likely, over for me is a value bet.

Published: 24-07-2018, 14:34 CET Pick: over 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.16 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Brazilian football
Date: 24-07-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 8)




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