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Golden State Warriors-Toronto Raptors    (won)

Honestly was hesitating between over and backing the Raptors but seeing Thomson listed as questionable, Looney out indefinitely and Durant still not cleared to play so i'm gonna go with the dog as i feel they have a good chance of covering. Of course much will depend on Thomson playing and prolly he will, Durant prolly not too many minutes, if he's gonna play, so a short-handed Warriors should be in trouble here, even if Durant is fully fit hard to tell his condition after such a long pause , so most likely he will not be at high level, not on his first game, so i would like him to play here. Toronto home and away can be different animal, they can look really crap on the road and now after losing game 2, they lost all the momentum which makes Warriors favourites here so i can understand this lines since home advantage is very important. Wont take the over as i feel i got beat lucky with u/o this two games, and there is much variance in both teams, i mean they can go from 60+ quarter to 40 points scored in last quarter in game 2, they can play good D and then look totally open.
So game 2 saw Warriors coming back from double digits and winning in style, we see it already with Portland for a number of times, and they looked like the mighty Warriors for the third q: very hard on D, quick transition and speedy shots, even Cousins played like a boss.No team in NBA can match their speed and Toronto looked clueless for about 10 minutes, although they really missed loads of open looks, something i dont really think will happen that often. Problem is that Warriors cant sustain this level for a whole game, they show their champion mentality for only one quarter or so, and the injuries surely have a say but they also have issues dealing with Toronto inside, too many second chances allowed, plus their second unit looks really vulnerable, they cant stop VanVleet, so plenty of reasons for Raptors to have hopes here. On the long road, and if injuries wont affect them, Warriors should be the winner here, as Toronto aint ready yet but if they gonna make this a tough series then this is the game where they should respond. Warriors can be fragile in first home game and they should be a bit more relaxed now after nailing the road win, so i guess backing Toronto in first q or first half aint such a bad idea as warriors are known for second half comebacks when they raise their level and intensity. 
Published: 04-06-2019, 19:16 CET Pick: Toronto Raptors +6.5
Odds: 1.85 at Unibet


Category: NBA basketball
Date: 06-06-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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