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Golden State Warriors - Portland Trail Blazers    (lost)

Western Conference finals, Game 1

GSW eliminated Houston Rockets in six games. So, It was the same 4-2 score like in the opening round vs LA Clippers. If two lost games from Clippers was big surprise and we could call it failure, we can't say the same for series vs Houston. 4-2 against Houston was great result especially if we know Warriors were without Kevin Durant in Game 6 on the road as well in almost entire second half of Game 5 at home. 
Everyone underestimated GSW when remained without KD and forgot about fact this team was great and was champion even before Durant arrivals from Oklahoma. 

Portland Trail Blazers eliminated Oklahoma in five games and then also Denver Nuggets in seven. Great result for Portland especially given on fact they were without home court advantage in the Conference Semifinals. 

This is going to be the third time in last few years that Warriors and Trail Blazers meets each other in the playoffs. On previous two occasions, Portland has won just one game (once 4-0 in the opening round and once 4-1 in the Conference Semifinals).
This time the Trail Blazers are hoping to do much better given on the fact GSW is without 2 of their starters. Cousins got injured already in series vs LA Clippers while the mentioned Durant injury would keep him out at least in these first two games vs Portland. But both, Cousins and Durant could show up later in the series or at least in the big finals if Warriors qualify.
For Portland Jusuf Nurkić, their big man is out for rest of the season. But his replacement, Kanter was very good although he also played lately with injured shoulder.
The real worry for Portland could be injury of Rodney Hood. He had to leave in Game 7 against Denver Nuggets. His contribution in series win over Nuggets was big. But fortunately by latest reports, it wasn't anything too serious with Hood's knee so he is expected to play against GSW. Still, we are yet to see how far from 100% he is going to be.
The best Trail Blazers' player, Damian Lillard had amazing series vs Oklahoma as well first game vs Denver. In those six games he averaged great 34 pts per game. But in last six games vs Denver he was below 23 pts including only 13 pts in deciding Game 7. But his partner in crime, CJ McCollum, the other best Trail Blazers player was amazing, not just in Game 7 but in this postseason n general. And these two currently IMO could be the most dangerous duo in situation when Curry is without Durant in the Warriors' team. Still, Clay Thompson definitely entered the right rhythm and we are yet to see when missing of KD could affect GSW offense. 

For Game 1 of this Conference finals, I am leaning towards Portland. If they are going to do something, it must be now in Game 1, if not to win then at least to cover. But, handicap is not too big. That's why (and due to everything said above), I feel Over the totals is the best choice for opening game. 
Over bet maybe is not in the line with Portland performances on the road against Nuggets but Warriors are different opponent. GSW plays way faster, on more possessions, so I'm not worried about this big 219.5 number. 
Published: 14-05-2019, 17:31 CET Pick: Over 219.5 pts
Odds: 1.87 at Unibet


Category: NBA basketball
Date: 14-05-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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