What makes me favor the Packers in this game has less to do with the strength of the team itself, and more with the fact that the Chargers are overrated and in a bad situation. In week 08, the Chargers were in California for a Sunday Night Football game against the Bears, in week 09, they crossed the country for a Monday Night Football game against the Jets in New Jersey, and then, they returned to California, where they were involved in an exhausting shootout against the Lions, losing in the final moments with a score of 41-38. Now, they will play in Wisconsin, in the 3rd different time zone in three weeks.
In addition to the difficult sequence in the schedule, the Chargers simply aren't that good of a team. Herbert is on a good streak, but the ground game is below average, while the defense, though solid against the run, is terrible against the pass, allowing an average rating of 99.0, the 6th worst in the league, and conceding an average of 8.1 yards per pass attempt by opponents, the highest in the league.
My projection is identical to the current line of the sportsbooks, but as a team, the Packers, at the moment, are a little better than their overall numbers suggest, and Love, as bad as he may be, will have the opportunity to exploit a weak and possibly quite worn out Chargers defense, in which I see the Packers, even as an unpopular choice, as one of the best betting values of the week.