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Guingamp vs Lille    (won)

Guingamp will host Lille @ the Stade de Roudourou for the 24`th round match of the Ligue 1. 
Guingamp is sitting at the bottom of the league and today are facing a team on the opposite end of the table. But, Guingamp has positive results against Lille and often they managed to beat them at home. They will have to muster all of that positive attitude today as Lille is in super form lately.
Guingamp is ranked 20`th with 14 points so far and 3-5-14 this season. They have 1 game more to play but the way they are playing 2 or more won`t help. Guingamp was, last season, one of the strongest sides on home ground and barely lost matches. There is no sign of those good times as nothing is going their way. Especially at home, they can`t assert any kind of dominance. In fact, they are just awful. With 1-3-7 and 10:19 gd they are the weakest home side and altogether the weakest scoring side in the league. Only the attacker Thuram(18-7) has some scoring ability but, in general, they create little chances. The form is bad with 5 league losses in the last 7 bu the also picked up 2 wins. Recently, they played a cup match and lost at home to Lyon on Thursday. There was little time to prepare for this one.
Lille also played a cup match but on Wednesday. They lost to Rennes 1:2 but they were fairly unlucky. They played with a man less since the 19`th minute and even though Pepe scored for the lead it was too little. It was Lille`s first loss in the last 7 matches as the other ones were all won. The team has raised their game and especially on the scoring front they improved greatly. The team also improved their away performances and took some notable wins. They managed to beat Nimes, Montpellier, and Marseille. The threat usually comes from the in-form Pepe(23-16) but he is backed up nicely with Bamba(23-9) and Leao(13-6).
Lille is now the second team in the league with 46 points but 13 behind PSG.  It is a vast improvement from last season when they nearly relegated. They have the second-best attack of the league but the defense has been lacking all season long. They certainly have to score 2 or more goals as they usually concede.
For this one, the Lille manager has a full lineup to choose from besides the suspended Soumarou(def.16-0).
Guingamp will miss Djilobodji(def.2-0) and N`Gbakoto(mid.12-0).
As I said, the history is in favor of Guingamp, but I have to take the in-form Lille today.

Published: 10-02-2019, 11:16 CET Pick: Lille
Odds: 2.2 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: French football
Date: 10-02-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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