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HNK Rijeka - Kolos Kovalivka    (won)

RIJEKA: Rijeka finished 3rd last season in Croatia. They were really close to that Champions League qualications spot but they ended with 1 points less than Lokomotiva. This will be their first match in these qualifications while they already played 4 rounds in domestic championship. They didn't start it very well - against two low-tier teams they won (Šibenik 2:1, Istra 2:1) while against Osijek (4th last season) and Lokomotiva (2nd) they lost both times without scoring a goal. They could have some troubles in attack for this game - Milan Ristovski (att 3/0), Yateke Sterling (att 3/1) are both injured while they sold their last season's topscorer Antonio-Mirko Čolak (att 4/0) to PAOK.

Their coach (Simon Rozman) at the press conference said: "In order to get into the Europa League group, we have to play two matches. For us, it will be like the semifinals and finals of the World Cup. With this mood we are preparing for these matches. We have enough experienced players who know what awaits us, and at the same time we have a lot of young people who want to prove themselves. It will be a match in which there is no favorite, in which the result of the game can be decided by any detail. Kolos has won six of its last seven games, beating Aris in Greece, and that speaks for itself. This is a dangerous team with many experienced players".

KOLOS: I already wrote about Kolos weeks ago. Nobody expected Kolos to spend August 2020 preparing for a European campaign. The club shot up through the ranks of Ukrainian football, starting out at amateur level in 2012 before reaching the Ukrainian Premier League via an improbable seven-year sequence of back-to-back promotions. Their ambitions were never higher and this are their first qualifications for Europa competitions ever. In the transfer window they stayed without just two important players - Paramonov (df 22/1) and Vilhjalmsson (att 15/5). All other departures were rotation players or unused players. They also had some good signings such as experienced defender Evgen Novak from Vardar (20/1 last season), Mykyta Kravchenko from Olimpik Donetsk (12/0 last season) and for sure their biggest signing is 35-years-old Yevgen Seleznov from Bursaspor (28/10 last season). Seleznov played over 50 games for the Ukrainian national team and he had scored over 100 goals in the Ukrainian first league! Kolos started this season great - they lost against Shakhtar (1:3) but after that they won against Lviv (4:0), Aris (1:2) and Rukh (1:2). In 2nd round they eliminated Greek Aris as guests, that's not easy to do. I think they are too underestimated here.

Their coach (Ruslan Kostyshyn) at the press conference said: "We do not feel any pressure, I don't think we will be very worried tomorrow. The game will show what we are worth. We must be calm. I have a good selection of players, so changing the lineup for the game in Lviv, I was not afraid of the result, because if you look, many people played in the main lineup last season. I think our physical condition is very good but the game will show everything."

CONCLUSION: I think Rijeka shouldn't be so big favorite here and chances are 50-50. Kolos already eliminated Aris in Greece and I don't think they should have problems with another away game. Rijeka have problems with their attackers, they sold their top scorer and I don't know what to expect from them. They didn't started season very well and 1.875 on this handicap simply has a lot of value. I must try it. Good luck!
Published: 24-09-2020, 10:54 CET Pick: Kolos +0,5
Odds: 1.875 at bet365

* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: European football
Date: 24-09-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 8)

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