Hajduk Split - Zilina    (won)

In the first leg of the Europa League qualifiers, Hajduk host Zilina at home. These two sides already met in the Europa League qualifiers back in 2009, when Zilina stayed unbeaten across the two legs. However, looking at the current situation, the stage both teams are in and the comparison of squad strength have changed significantly. This time, Hajduk clearly have a better chance to take the initiative at home.

Hajduk have been very active during the offseason, and their recruitment plan has been quite clear. They have basically strengthened all three areas of the pitch. In defence, they brought in Belgian centre-back Van Horenbeeck. In midfield, Del Moral joined from Spanish Segunda side Real Oviedo, which should improve both their organisation and physical presence in the middle. Up front, they also added forward Dalli from Cordoba. These signings were all made to address specific weaknesses, and they have improved both Hajduk’s squad depth and rotation quality. Several of these new arrivals could make their official debuts in this match. Recently, Hajduk have been using matches to build rhythm, and their overall chemistry is gradually taking shape. At home against a Zilina side that are not particularly strong or complete in terms of squad depth, and with a clear sense of revenge from a psychological perspective, Hajduk should be highly motivated for this game.

Zilina, on the other hand, have been much more conservative. Their squad has changed very little during the summer window, with the team largely keeping its original structure. They only brought in one goalkeeper, and that new signing did not get many opportunities in preseason, so it is hard to expect him to bring any real improvement for now. More importantly, main defender Minarik picked up an injury in training, and his availability for this match is still uncertain. If he misses out, Zilina’s already limited defensive rotation will become even tighter.

The form factor is also not in favour of the visitors. Hajduk have won several games in a row recently, and their match rhythm, attacking play and defensive structure are all trending upward. Under coach Stano, Zilina have only managed three draws and one defeat in their last four matches, and they are still without a win.

Overall, Hajduk have the advantage in home momentum, squad upgrades, recent form and motivation. It will not be easy for Zilina to stay unbeaten here. Hajduk are expected to make a strong start.

PICK: Hajduk -1.25