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Hannover - Heidenheim    (lost)

Once again going against Heidenheim, but this time i feel more comfortable, as they have to play away from home. If we look at season long data, these teams are actually pretty even, but we should look deeper into the stats. Hannover is one of the best home teams, winning their games by nearly 1 xG against their average opponent. While Heidenheim is an average away team, losing the average road game with -0.18 xG. Then we have to notice, that Hannover is performing better lately, while for Heidenheim, the opposite is the case, biggest reason for that is the injury for Burnic. Now Kühlwetter will be out  for this  game which is a blow as he scored 13 goals this season. Only concern for me is that Hannover plays a game today against Würzburg, so not a lot rest for them, but at least both games will be at home, so no travelling. I think fair price for home win is around 2.1 or 2.2. Ducksch and Hult both with 4 yellows so far so lets pray they dont get booked today.
Published: 08-04-2021, 12:19 CET Pick: Hannover+0
Odds: 1.735 at Pinnacle


Category: German football
Date: 11-04-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 5 (tipster's average: 5)



TheWooooo 08-04-2021, 20:28
should have waited with this pick, hult is suspended plus a bad game from hannover today, would make the line between 2.3 and 2.4 i think odds will rise
TheWooooo 10-04-2021, 18:36
dont play it @2.3 now
TheWooooo 11-04-2021, 14:16
are you kidding me hannover is so much better

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