Heracles started this season with many losses in a row in the league, but recently found a run of 4 wins in a row started with a cup win, 4-1 also at another first league club, NAC Breda, even on the road. Since than they won 8-2 at home with Zwolle or 4-2 against Europa League side, Go Ahead Eagles also at home, and another 2-1 win on the road at Excelsior.
Last round in the league, Heracles scored no less than 3 goals on the road at PSV while they lost narrowly just 4-3 in the end. The guests are fully amateurs despite winning last round in the cup 1-0 at home with FC Emmen, as I really do not rate the 2nd league level in Netherlands at a great level. Before that in a previous cup round they had won 4-3 on the road at some other amateurs, while they are really just from Derde Divisie, which is the 2nd amateur level level and recently have two 3-2 wins in the league.
Given how good Heracles can be when it comes to scoring goals, and them being in pretty good shape right now, I take over 4.5 goals here. GL! Dutch Cup.