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FinnishFlash
 
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Hubi vs Millman    (won)

Madrid Masters

I just like these lowish lines in these spesific clay court conditions... Let me tell what I think.

First imo this will be totally different for Hubi to play than in regular slow clay - he has proven in the past like last time in this tournament 2019 losing R16 to Sascha in a close 3 setter, that these are ideal clay court conditions for him. BUT hardly Millman is easy in this spot to play against. Was backing already couple times this season John, against Coria and last time was in Munchen the MOST ridiculous odds setup ever when Ruud was like 1.10ish against him - had +5.5. So I never concidered Millman that poor on the dirt, because he can grind out and although maybe he dont like overall clay, still faster conditions he enjoys just like the Polish. Both are more like HC-players to me, and it will be interesting to see how they battle out on fast clay because of their h2h. 

Im sure Hubi will be strong behind his 1st serve, BUT 2nd is the one which John is usually great returning - no matter what surface. So basically Im not even expecting only to be like 7-6, 6-2 etc... but this can be set a piece and a decider! Surely value also playing Millman's side here, which I was thinking.
Published: 03-05-2021, 23:56 CET Pick: Over 21
Odds: 1.71 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 04-05-2021
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 7)



finnishflash 04-05-2021, 14:01
GG ladies and gents - Darky also... Ps. Was value "match" hitting ML and +1.5 sets too.

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