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Ilves Tampere - HIFK Helsinki    (won)

Veikkausliiga. Match will be played at 5:30 P.M.

Ilves is more than mediocre team in this league. In last 5 seasons finished tournament between 2-5 place. This team is ranking 8th, now. HIFK was promoted in 2018 after 1 season in the 2nd league and last 2 season was placed 9th and 8th. Now the guests team is ranking on 5th place.
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Season statistics:
Ilves 18 7-2-9 goals 17:23, at home 8 6-0-2 goals 10:7 They have 8/9th offensive line and 7th defence.
HIFK 17 8-5-4 goals 21:17 an away 7 4-3-0 goals 9:2 They have 7th attackers line and 3/4th defence in the legue.
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Form:
Ilves 6 2-0-4 goals3:8, at home 3 2-0-1 goals 2:1
HIFK 6 4-1-1 goals 9:6, an away 3 2-1-0 goals 4:0
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Under / over:
Ilves u/o 2,5 - 12/6 (at home 5/3), average 2,22 (at home 2,13). BTS 11/7 (6/2)
HIFK u/o 2,5 - 11/6 (an away 5/2), average 2,24 (an away 1,58). BTS 10/7 (5/2)
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H2H statistics from 2010-2021: 19 matches 9-7-3 goals 34:25, in Tampere 11 5-4-2 goals 22:15.
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Ilves players have a value of 3,20 million. euro, and HIFK players - 2,48. Ilves absences: center-back Katz (8/0/0), doubtful is center-back Almen (14/1/0). HIFK absences: center forward Tukiainen (3/1/0).
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Summary: the hosts are a very solid home team and the visitors are very solid in away matches. The visitors from Helsinki are in better shape. HIFK currently has a stronger squad than at the beginning of the season. Ilves - on the contrary - has fallen by 20%, but is still 30% higher than today's visitors. Ilves was changed coach three weeks ago. The new coach first lost 2 away games, but recently won at his stadium against solid Lahti. H2H statistics are favorable for Ilves. There are probably no major problems with injuries in both teams, but on the official HIFK website there is information about possible changes in the line-up of the guests due to the need to play 6 matches in just over two weeks (September 11-30). The second difficulty in judging this match is the fact that it will be the central point of the club's 90th anniversary celebrated today. Such circumstances "require" the hosts to win, or at least not to lose, this match. This fact, connected with, for me, unexpected statement on the official HIFK website about the rotation of the squad, has a certain significance. It will be only the 2nd HIFK game in this period of intense play. It is even more noticeable that the anniversary of Ilves was supposed to be celebrated a month ago, during the match against HIFK, but then the problem related to the detection of the coronavirus in one of the HIFK players stood in the way. All the indicated statistics, past and present, as well as additional circumstances, make me choose the hosts before this match, despite the good form of the guests and despite their good game away. However, I protect myself against losing money in the case of a tie.
Published: 14-09-2021, 11:56 CET Pick: Ilves (dnb)
Odds: 1.8 at William Hill


Category: Finnish football
Date: 14-09-2021
Option: Draw No Bet
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 4)




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