I said recently Dallas plus the points is something I'm always interested in. But this tonight simply should not be their spot. Many reasons not to trust them this time.

Firstly, now they are road favourites. Secondly,  they screwed me in previous game when catching decent number of pts. It was against Toronto in game where it was tied score at HT but still,  23 pts loss at the end for the Mavs. And should I point out again,  those were Raptors who almost never covers and who are the hosts on neutral location. Yeah,  I would say Mavs are tired and that was the reason for second half collapse.  I don't see good game for them today either. Dallas has lost last three now,  they are going to play tonight its 5th game in seven days,  plus they were traveling all the time during this stretch. As a matter fact,  not just last seven days and those five games, but Mavs' constant change of the court is way longer. They will play tonight its 10th straight game on a different court. So all it was travel travel travel.  They plays several on the road,  then arrives home but only on one game and immediately are again on the road and so on for 10th straight game. This obviously affected them,  so I think it's time to fade them tonight and maybe for a little bit longer period. But very soon arrives stretch of 13 games where Dallas even 11 will play at home. That's a time we should consider them as a bet on. 

Also,  they are currently without four guys in rotation.

Josh Richardson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Maxi Kleber and Dwight Powell will remain on the inactive list. 

Indiana is good enough IMO to take advantage of bad spot for Dallas.