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Iran U23 - North Korea U23    (lost)

North Korea haven't lost an Asian Games match (in 90 minutes) since 2006. That is 12 matches. They only lost to South Korea in the 2014 final on 119th minute and UAE golden generation on penalties in 2010.

I think many expect North Korea to fix this match because they are known to have found out about the joys of match fixing in 2014 Asian Games presumably after finding out about it from Laos.

However after Winter Olympic Games "Cooldown" in international relations it seems North Korea didn't fix many match and I think they are going to try their best because are realistically even medal candidates and because it is "Olympics" they don't represent only North Korean FA but also North Korean Olympic Committee. They played a preparation tournament in Indonesia some months ago and if I remember correctly didn't fix at least 2 of those 3 matches. Also added 3 overage players like centerback Jang Kuk Chol. So why would they add overage players as wild cards if they were going to just fix. Why would risk their NT starting centerback to be banned when younger players could easily do the same "job".

North Korea only drew with Myanmar 1-1 but heavily outclassed them for most of the match (shots ~25-5, corners 11-3, ball >60 %). Also Myanmar are not so bad team, it is perfect timing for this tournament to be held for their "golden generation" that reached U20 World Cup in 2015. For example their striker Aung Thu has scored 10 goals in Thai Premier League, that is more than any Thai player or other Asian.

Iran team without doubt have more skill but North Koreans are more physical and probably even better condition. It is only 2 days since the big match against Saudi Arabia for Iran.

Published: 17-08-2018, 09:08 CET Pick: North Korea +0.25
Odds: 2.85 at Pinnacle


Category: International football
Date: 17-08-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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